Tesla assembles its TSP-415 and TSP-420 solar panels at Gigafactory New York in Buffalo — but it does not make the solar cells inside them, and it has not disclosed who does. That single gap defines the entire Tesla solar supply chain in 2026, and it has a direct financial consequence for buyers using lease financing. Here is the full chain, from the SolarCity acquisition to the 100 GW Texas plan.
👉 The phrase to fixate on is "assembled in Buffalo." In solar, assembly is the last and cheapest 10–15% of the value chain. Ingot, wafer and cell are where the cost, the emissions and the geopolitics live — and Tesla is not in those steps yet.
- Who makes them: Tesla assembles the modules in Buffalo. The cells are produced outside the US by an undisclosed manufacturer.
- Capacity today: just over 300 MW per year in Buffalo — against a stated goal of 100 GW per year by 2028.
- Solar Roof: effectively shelved. Tesla has pivoted to conventional panels, and the new TSP design fixes Solar Roof’s core shading flaw.
- The real bet: Brookshire, Texas — full vertical integration from ingot growth through finished module, using $2.9B of Chinese equipment.
- The catch buyers miss: Tesla has not publicly claimed FEOC compliance, which affects the domestic-content bonus on some lease financing.
Who Makes Tesla Solar Panels in 2026?
Tesla’s TSP-420 datasheet states the modules are "assembled in Buffalo, New York" — wording that points to cells being produced by someone outside the United States, with Tesla performing module assembly at Gigafactory New York (Electrek on the TSP-420 launch).
This is still a meaningful change. For several years Tesla white-labelled panels from third-party manufacturers including Q Cells. The TSP series is a proprietary Tesla design, with 18 independent power zones per module — roughly three times the zoning of a conventional panel — derived from the cascading cell technology developed for Solar Roof (pv magazine USA).
The FEOC gap most reviews skip
Tesla has not publicly claimed Foreign Entity of Concern compliance for the TSP-420, and cell sourcing remains undisclosed. FEOC compliance requires that cells and critical minerals are not sourced from entities connected to China, Russia, Iran or North Korea.
The practical consequence: under Sections 48/48E, a third-party system owner in a lease arrangement can claim the domestic-content bonus only with FEOC-compliant panels. Without that confirmation, homeowners using certain lease financing paths lose access to a meaningful federal incentive (installer analysis of TSP-420 FEOC status).
⚠ If you are quoted a Tesla solar lease in 2026, ask one question in writing: is the panel FEOC-compliant, and has the domestic-content bonus been applied to this quote? "Assembled in Buffalo" does not answer that. This is the single highest-value question in the whole purchase.
From SolarCity to 2026: How This Supply Chain Got Here
| Year | Event | Supply chain consequence |
|---|---|---|
| 2014 | SolarCity acquires cell maker Silevo; Buffalo plant built with ~$959M of New York State money | The factory was always meant to make cells, not just assemble modules |
| 2016 | Tesla acquires SolarCity for $2.6 billion; Solar Roof unveiled | Musk projected up to 10 GW/year from the Buffalo site |
| 2017–2020 | Panasonic runs cell manufacturing at Buffalo, then exits in 2020 | Tesla loses its in-house cell partner and never replaces it |
| 2020–2025 | Buffalo pivots to Supercharger components and Autopilot data labeling | Solar becomes a white-label business; Tesla stops reporting deployment in 2024 |
| Late 2025 | TSP panel production restarts in Buffalo | First proprietary Tesla module design in a decade |
| Jan 2026 | TSP-415/420 launched commercially; Musk announces 100 GW goal at Davos | Strategy shifts from installer to manufacturer |
| Mar–May 2026 | Chinese equipment approved for export; Brookshire, Texas site confirmed | First credible path to owning the cell step |
💡 The pattern across twelve years: Tesla has repeatedly owned the brand and the installation, but never the cell. Every attempt to close that gap — Silevo, Panasonic, now Brookshire — has either failed or is unproven. That is the through-line of this story.
The Solar Roof Retreat
Solar Roof, unveiled in October 2016 as the cornerstone of Tesla’s energy vision, never reached meaningful volume. Tesla did not achieve even small-scale production until 2020, three years behind schedule, and coverage in 2026 describes the product as effectively shelved after missing production targets by a wide margin (analysis of the Solar Roof pivot).
The technical irony is instructive. Solar Roof’s string-inverter architecture handled shading poorly, and its tile format made that worse. The TSP panel replacing it uses an 18-zone layout that directly addresses shading — the flaw the original product never solved.
Tesla Energy’s own framing of the new panel was that "this panel completes the full package of the residential energy ecosystem" — language that quietly reassigns the role Solar Roof was supposed to play (pv magazine interview).
The Brookshire Bet: Real Vertical Integration
At Davos in January 2026, Musk announced that Tesla and SpaceX would each independently build 100 GW per year of US solar manufacturing capacity by 2028, "integrating across the entire supply chain from raw materials" through to finished panels (coverage of the 100 GW plan).
The site is Brookshire, Texas, at Empire West Business Park roughly 35 miles west of Houston, co-located with Tesla’s Megapack Megafactory. Tesla leases Buildings 9 and 10 totalling 1.65 million square feet, with a further 600,000 square feet planned, and the operation is designed to span ingot growth, wafer slicing, cell production and module assembly (Electrek on the Brookshire facility).
| Production stage | Status in 2026 | Who controls it today |
|---|---|---|
| Polysilicon | Not announced | External — globally concentrated |
| Ingot growth | Planned at Brookshire | Not yet operating |
| Wafer slicing | Planned at Brookshire | Not yet operating |
| Cell production | Planned at Brookshire; equipment procured | External, undisclosed supplier |
| Module assembly | Operating in Buffalo, >300 MW/yr | Tesla |
| Inverter and storage | Tesla Solar Inverter, Powerwall 3 | Tesla |
| Installation | Third-party certified installer network | Partners |
The paradox at the heart of the plan
To build American solar independence, Tesla is buying Chinese equipment. CNBC reported negotiations for $2.9 billion of Chinese solar manufacturing tooling, with Suzhou Maxwell Technologies — the world’s largest producer of screen-printing equipment for solar cells — among the leading suppliers, alongside Shenzhen S.C New Energy and Laplace (Electrek on the equipment deal).
China’s Ministry of Commerce approved Maxwell’s export of HJT turnkey lines and screen-printing equipment to Tesla and SpaceX on March 31, 2026 — the milestone that made the plan credible rather than aspirational.
✔ Scale check before believing the 100 GW figure: total US solar module manufacturing was just above 45 GW at the end of 2025, expected to reach around 60 GW in 2026. Tesla and SpaceX combined are targeting 200 GW. Buffalo is currently at 0.3 GW. The gap is three orders of magnitude.
Three Dependencies Tesla Cannot Escape Yet
- The cell itself. Until Brookshire produces cells at volume, every Tesla panel contains someone else’s cell. That is the difference between a manufacturer and an assembler, and it is why the FEOC question stays unanswered.
- The tooling. The equipment required to make cells at scale is overwhelmingly Chinese. Beijing has made export controls a stated priority, and approval is granted case by case — leverage that persists after the equipment ships.
- The policy window. Solar manufacturing equipment was excluded from Section 301 tariffs in 2024 at the request of US panel makers, and that exemption runs through November 2026. Equipment landing after that window may face very different economics.
💡 Two November 2026 deadlines now sit on Tesla’s energy calendar — the Section 301 equipment exemption and the paused Chinese rare-earth measures affecting the wider business. Neither is widely discussed, and both fall in the same month. That is the quarter to watch.
The Policy Shock Nobody Priced In
The One Big Beautiful Bill Act ended federal solar tax credit funding for residential systems after December 31, 2025. Conventional wisdom said that would crater demand.
It did not, at least initially. Tesla reported a surge in US residential solar demand and launched a solar lease product designed to make adoption affordable without the upfront credit, while expanding its solar team for the first time in five years (Tesla energy commentary on the demand surge).
That is the strategically interesting move: when the purchase incentive disappeared, Tesla shifted the ownership model rather than the price. Leases and PPAs move the tax benefit to the system owner — which is precisely why the FEOC question above became financially material.
Why Storage, Not Solar, Pays the Bills
Context that reframes everything above: Tesla deployed a record 46.7 GWh of energy storage in 2025, up 48% year over year, generating $12.8 billion in revenue at a 29.8% gross margin — roughly double what Tesla earns selling cars. Storage now accounts for around 13% of total revenue and 23% of gross profit (Electrek on Tesla energy economics).
Solar is not the profit centre. It is the demand generator that makes Powerwall and Megapack more valuable, and increasingly the electricity source for Tesla’s own AI compute build-out. Judge the solar supply chain by what it enables, not by its standalone margin.
Checklist: What to Verify Before Buying Tesla Solar in 2026
- Ask for the cell country of origin in writing. "Assembled in Buffalo" describes module assembly only.
- Confirm FEOC status and whether the domestic-content bonus applies to your specific financing structure.
- Compare efficiency honestly. The TSP-420 sits at 20.5%, below leading REC, Qcells and Maxeon modules — the trade is shade tolerance and aesthetics, not peak output.
- Check the warranty term. Tesla moved from a 10-year product warranty on older series to 25 years on the TSP — make sure your quote is the new series.
- If you have an existing Solar Roof, get service commitments documented. The product line has been deprioritized.
- Price the ecosystem, not the panel. The 18-zone design is tuned for the Tesla string inverter; mixing brands erodes the main advantage.
- Verify installer status. Tesla now sells substantially through third-party certified installers rather than internal crews.
FAQ
Who makes Tesla solar panels?
Tesla assembles the TSP-415 and TSP-420 modules at Gigafactory New York in Buffalo using its own proprietary design. The solar cells inside are manufactured outside the US by a supplier Tesla has not disclosed.
Is Tesla Solar Roof discontinued?
Tesla has not formally discontinued it, but reporting in 2026 describes it as shelved after missing production targets. Tesla has pivoted its residential solar strategy to conventional TSP panels.
Are Tesla solar panels made in the USA?
Assembled in the USA, yes. Fully made in the USA, no — the cells are imported. Full domestic production is planned for the Brookshire, Texas facility, not yet operating.
What happened to the SolarCity Buffalo factory?
Built with roughly $959 million of New York State funding for cell manufacturing, it was run by Panasonic until 2020, then used mainly for Supercharger components and Autopilot data labeling. Panel assembly restarted in late 2025.
Can Tesla really reach 100 GW of solar manufacturing by 2028?
It would require going from around 0.3 GW today to more than total current US capacity. The Brookshire site and approved Chinese equipment make it credible as a project; the timeline remains extremely aggressive.
Does the end of the federal solar tax credit kill Tesla solar?
It changed the model rather than the demand. Residential credit funding ended after December 31, 2025, and Tesla responded with lease products that shift the tax benefit to the system owner.
The Bottom Line
Tesla’s solar supply chain in 2026 is one step deep and three steps short. Module assembly is real and domestic. Cells, wafers and ingots are not — and until Brookshire runs, Tesla is a solar assembler with a strong brand, not a solar manufacturer.
The Texas plan is the first genuinely credible attempt to close that gap in a decade of trying, and it depends on Chinese equipment, a tariff exemption expiring in November 2026, and an execution timeline that would be unprecedented in the industry.
For buyers, the actionable takeaway is smaller and sharper: get cell origin and FEOC status in writing before you sign anything, because the label on the datasheet does not tell you what you are actually buying.
💡 We track every Tesla energy and manufacturing disclosure as it lands — with reported figures and confirmed figures kept in separate columns. Join the community to get the breakdown before the market catches up.
Sources: Electrek, pv magazine USA, Teslarati, Carbon Credits, energiesmedia, NuWatt Energy, EnergySage. Cell sourcing and supplier relationships are reported by third parties and not confirmed by Tesla. Last fact-check: August 5, 2026.
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